A mix of exit polls show the BJP will likely retain power in Parliament and could form the government in Rajasthan. Congress could win Chhattisgarh and Telangana
Congress leader Rahul Gandhi and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Photo: collected
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Congress leader Rahul Gandhi and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Photo: collected
The 2023 exit polls for five states in India’s Assembly elections, billed as the semi-final before the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, predict a mixed mix for the Bharatiya Janata Party and Congress in three Heartland states Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and southern state Rajasthan. of Telangana.
A set of exit polls on Thursday showed the BJP would likely retain power in Madhya Pradesh and could form the government in Rajasthan. Most exit polls predicted an advantage over the Congress in Chhattisgarh and Telangana.
Pollsters also said that in Mizoram, the Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM) was locked in a tight race with the Mizo National Front (MNF), with the Congress and the BJP trailing behind.
While the BJP is in power in the 230-member Madhya Pradesh assembly, the Congress rules Rajasthan (200) and Chhattisgarh (90). In Telangana, the Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS) party led by K Chandrashekhar Rao has been in power for 10 years and in Mizoram, the MNF is in government.
Elections in the five states were held between November 7 and 30 and the counting of votes would take place on December 3.
Key Points of Rajasthan, MP, Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Mizoram Exit Poll 2023:
Madhya Pradesh at the exit of the 2023 polls: While Jan Ki Baat predicted that the BJP could get 100 to 123 seats and the Congress 102 to 125, Republic TV-Matrize predicted 118 to 130 seats for the BJP and 97 to 107 for the Congress. TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat said that BJP will get 106-116 and Congress will get 111-121. Today’s Chanakya, however, predicted a massive victory for the BJP in Madhya Pradesh, predicting that the BJP would get 151 (plus minus 12 seats) and the Congress 74 (plus minus 12 seats). The BJP is expected to retain power with 140-162 seats, the India Today-Axis My India exit poll showed. The Congress is likely to win between 68 and 90 seats, he predicts. Jist-TIF-NAI said the Congress enjoyed a comparable advantage as in 2018 in Madhya Pradesh, projecting 107-124 seats for the party compared to 102-119 for the BJP.
Rajasthan exit polls 2023: India Today-Axis My India predicts a close race, predicting 86 to 106 seats for the Congress, 80 to 100 seats for the BJP and another 9 to 18. Jan Ki Baat pollsters predicted the BJP to get 100-122 and 62 -85 for Congress, TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat predicted 100-110 for BJP and 90-100 for Congress.
The Times Now ETG poll predicts 108-128 seats for the BJP and 56-72 for the Congress in Rajasthan.
Jist-TIF-NAI predicts that in Rajasthan the tradition of revolving door will continue, predicting 110 seats for the BJP and 70 for the Congress.
The P-Marq poll indicates that the BJP could win 105 to 125 seats in Rajasthan with 42.2 percent votes and the Congress 69 to 81 seats with 39.7 percent votes. Others are on track to get between 5 and 15 seats with 18.1 percent of the vote.
Chhattisgarh exit polls 2023: ABP News-C Voter predicted 36-48 seats for the BJP and 41-53 for the Congress, India Today-Axis My India predicted 36-46 seats for the BJP and 40-50 seats for the Congress. India TV-CNX predicts 30-40 seats for the BJP and 46-56 seats for the Congress. According to Jan Ki Baat, the BJP would get 34-45 and the Congress 42-53.
Today’s Chanakya predicted that the BJP could get 33 seats (plus-minus 8 seats) and the Congress would get a clear majority of 57 seats (plus-minus 8).
Telangana exit from 2023 polls: While India TV-CNX predicted 63-79 seats for Congress, 31-47 for BRS, 2-4 for BJP and 5-7 for AIMIM, Jan Ki Baat predicted Congress to get 48-64 seats. BRS would get 40-55, BJP 7-13 and AIMIM 4-7.
Republic TV-Matrize predicted that in Telangana, Congress would get 58-68 seats, BRS 46-56, BJP 4-9 and AIMIM 5-9. TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat said Congress will get 49-59 seats and BRS 48-58.
Mizoram exit polls 2023: India TV-CNX predicted that MNF would get 14-18, ZPM 12-16, Congress 8-10 and BJP 0-2, while ABP News-C voter said MNF would get 15-21 , the ZPM 12-18 and the Congress 2. -8. Jan Ki Baat said MNF would get 10-14 seats, ZPM 15-25 seats, Congress 5-9 and BJP 0-2.
Health warning: Exit polls are often wrong.
